Friday, 6 June 2014

Another month of solid hiring could fuel US growth

The Associated Press



Hiring has picked up in the past several months, and another strong job gain could boost hopes that the U.S. economy has rebounded after a grim start to the year.


Economists forecast that employers added 220,000 jobs in May, according to FactSet. That would be below April's burst of hiring, when 288,000 jobs were added, the most in 2½ years. But it would still be near the monthly average gain this year of 214,000 jobs.


The government will release the May employment report at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time Friday.


Analysts predict that the unemployment rate rose to 6.4 percent from 6.3 percent. But if it did, it will likely be because more people out of work started looking for jobs in May. The government counts people as unemployed only if they're actively seeking work. So when more people look for work, the unemployment rate can rise.


If at least 98,000 positions were added in May, the total number of U.S. jobs would finally return to its level in December 2007, when the Great Recession began. Yet that's hardly cause for celebration: The population has grown nearly 7 percent since then.


Economists at the liberal Economic Policy Institute estimate that 7 million more jobs would have been needed to keep up with population growth. Average wages, meanwhile, have grown just 2 percent a year since the recession ended, below the long-run average annual growth of about 3.5 percent.


Many economists predicted late last year that growth would finally pick up in 2014 from the steady but modest pace that has persisted for the past four years.


But the economy actually contracted in the first three months of this year as a blast of cold weather shut down factories and kept consumers away from shopping malls and car dealerships. The U.S. economy shrank at a 1 percent annual rate in the first quarter, its first contraction in three years.


So far, employers have shrugged off the winter slowdown and have continued to hire. That should help the economy rebound because more jobs mean more paychecks to spend.


Most economists expect annualized growth to reach 3 percent to 3.5 percent in the current second quarter and top 3 percent for the rest of the year.


Most recent economic figures suggest that growth is accelerating.


Auto sales surged 11 percent in May to a nine-year high. Some of that increase reflected a pent-up demand after heavy snow during winter discouraged car buyers. But analysts predict that healthy sales will continue in coming months, bolstered by low auto-loan rates and the rollout of new car models.


Manufacturers are expanding solidly, a private survey showed this week, fueled by gains in production and orders. And a measure of service firms' business activity reached a nine-month high in May.


The number of people seeking unemployment benefits, meanwhile, has fallen to nearly seven-year lows. Applications are a proxy for layoffs, so the figures indicate that companies are cutting fewer workers. When businesses are confident enough to hold on to staff, they may also step up hiring.


Small businesses are also hiring steadily, according to a survey by the National Federation of Independent Business. That's a sharp contrast from earlier stages of the recovery. Small firms have added jobs for eight straight months, the NFIB said Wednesday, the longest such stretch since 2006.



3 bid to serve Mid-Delta Airport


Three airlines are vying to provide service to Greenville Mid-Delta Airport.


The three are seeking to replace Silver Airways, which is ending service to and from Greenville.


The Delta Democrat Times reports (http://bit.ly/1nTacZV ) Air Choice One, Seaport Airlines and SunAir International are proposing 18-24 non-stop daily flights to and from Memphis International Airport.


The airlines requested subsidies from the U.S. Department of Transportation ranging from $1.5 million to $2.5 million.


Fares were set between $29 and $99 each way, depending on carrier.


The three airlines also bid to serve Tupelo Airport.


Silver Airways began service at Greenville Mid-Delta Airport in October 2012 after Delta Airlines withdrew. Air Choice One also bid to replace Delta.


Silver Airways is also ending service to Hattiesburg, Meridian and Muscle Shoals, Alabama.



Gadget Watch: LG Lifeband Touch needs a purpose


Smart capabilities have become the latest marketing pitch to sell more wristwatches, TVs, eyeglasses, refrigerators, cars and even toothbrushes. But have we figured out why they need to be smart?


I asked myself that as I wore LG's Lifeband Touch day and night for a week.


The new computerized wristband tracks workouts and calories burned and syncs with the LG Fitness app on an iPhone, iPad or Android device. It can also control music on a phone and alerts incoming calls and emails, at least for Android users.


The Lifeband marks the entry of LG Electronics Inc. into the fledgling market of wearable gadgets and follows smartwatches from Samsung Electronics Co., Sony Corp. and others. LG started selling the Lifeband in the U.S. last month for $150. It will be available in parts of Asia and Europe in coming weeks.


— THE SCREEN


As a fitness tracker, the Lifeband is meant to be used a lot outdoors. But its finger-length touch screen is hard to see in direct sunlight. I was unable to adjust the brightness, and I needed to find shade to make out the characters.


For just $50 more, you can get Samsung's Gear Fit with a curved screen capable of displaying clear and vibrant colors and which is readable in direct sunlight. The LG's screen offers only black and white.


— ODD FIT


The Lifeband doesn't have a strap that can be fastened and adjusted to the size of the wearer's wrist. Rather, it has a bendable plastic band, with a gap that widens to let the wrist slip in. The band then locks itself in place once on the wrist.


Although not having a strap to buckle on and off makes the Lifeband easy to wear and remove, it will dangle if the band is too big. The Lifeband comes in three sizes, and if your wrist is narrower, you might have to pull the wristband toward your forearm. By contrast, you can adjust the Gear's strap.


I often had to take off the gadget while writing or typing on a computer because it was too thick and heavy. I described it to friends as a digital handcuff because it squeezed my arm and kept moving between my wrist and my forearm.


— FITNESS TRACKING


You click the device's timer before beginning a workout, such as a run. Afterward, the phone or tablet app shows the route along with the distance, calories consumed and speed.


The Lifeband also counts the number of steps walked throughout the day. It can also measure heart rate with a $180 companion earphone.


— FITNESS COACHING


The Lifeband vibrated as I got closer to the goal I set of one hour of walking each day. At a quarter of the way in, it vibrated and displayed: "25 percent achieved." It also vibrates at random moments and tells you to "Stretch stretch" or "Move move."


That was more distracting than motivating. It's one thing to have a personal trainer at a gym tell you what to do. It's another to have a wristband that doesn't understand how my day was going. It wanted me to stretch when I was busy typing on a keyboard. It wanted me to move when I was having a coffee with a friend. Instead, I simply ignored the device.


I would have been more likely to exercise had the wristband been mindful of my daily routines. My only option was to turn this feature off.


— NOTIFICATIONS


The Lifeband alerts you to incoming calls, but it cannot receive or make calls. I got a vibration for a call I would have missed with my iPhone in silent mode. To answer it, however, I still scratched my head wondering where I had left the phone.


The Lifeband also gives notifications for incoming emails but not when it's paired with an iPhone or an iPad. With Android, you get the sender's name and subject line, but none of the message itself. It's a common problem with the small screens on wrist devices, and it left me wondering why I would need one.


THE BRIGHT SIDE


— Its battery lasted as long as promised — five days on a full charge. But other fitness trackers offer similar functions, often at lower prices.


— THE CASE FOR IT?


Not compelling.


If it's meant to be an outdoor fitness device, then it needs a display that works outdoors. If it's meant to encourage you to work out, then it needs to avoid nagging and let you work exercise into your schedule.



Engineer's 'switch from hell' began GM recall woes


Inside General Motors, they called it "the switch from hell."


The ignition switch on the steering column of the Chevrolet Cobalt and other small cars was so poorly designed that it easily slipped out of the run position, causing engines to stall. Engineers knew it; as early as 2004, a Cobalt stalled on a GM test track when the driver's knee grazed the key fob. By GM's admission, the defective switches caused over 50 crashes and at least 13 deaths.


Yet inside the auto giant, no one saw it as a safety problem. For 11 years.


A 315-page report by an outside attorney found that the severity of the switch problem was downplayed from the start. Even as dozens of drivers were losing control of their vehicles in terrifying crashes, GM engineers, safety investigators and lawyers considered the switches a "customer satisfaction" problem, incorrectly believing that people could still steer the cars even though the power steering went out when the engines stalled. In safety meetings, people gave what was known as the "GM nod," agreeing on a plan of action but doing nothing.


"The decision not to categorize the problem as a safety issue directly impacted the level of urgency with which the problem was addressed and the effort to resolve it," wrote Anton Valukas, the former federal prosecutor hired by GM to produce the report.


Some experts applauded the transparency in the GM report, but not everyone is buying its narrative, including family members of people killed and some lawyers suing the company.


Laura Christian, whose daughter Amber Marie Rose was killed in a Maryland Cobalt crash, still questions whether GM leaders knew about the problem — even though Valukas found that top executives, including CEO Mary Barra, didn't know about the switch problem until last December. Christian said the internal investigation is a start, but she hopes the Justice Department goes deeper and holds some employees criminally liable.


"Negligence is a criminal charge," she said.


The Valukas report makes no mention of negligence. But it says plenty about incompetence throughout GM.


THE NEW SWITCH


In the late 1990s, GM patented a new ignition switch designed to be cheaper, less prone to failure and less apt to catch fire than previous switches. But in prototype vehicles, the switch worked poorly. Veteran switch engineer Ray DeGiorgio had to redesign its electrical system.


The switch had mechanical problems, too. It didn't meet GM's specifications for the force required to rotate it. But increasing the force would have required more changes. So in 2002, DeGiorgio — who made several critical decisions in this case — approved the switch anyway. He signed an email to the switch supplier, "Ray (tired of the switch from hell) DeGiorgio."


Almost immediately, GM started getting complaints of unexpected stalling from drivers of the Saturn Ion, the first car equipped with the switch. The complaints continued when the switch was used for the Cobalt, which went on sale in 2004. Yet it wasn't seen as a safety issue. Even if the engine stalled and the power steering went out, engineers reasoned, drivers could still wrestle the cars to the side of the road.


As more complaints came in, GM kept viewing the problem as "annoying but not particularly problematic," Valukas wrote. "Once so defined, the switch problem received less attention, and efforts to fix it were impacted by cost considerations that would have been immaterial had the problem been properly categorized in the first instance," his report said.


In a critical failure to link cause and effect — and one that Valukas references often in his report — engineers trying to diagnose the problem didn't understand that the air bags wouldn't inflate in a crash if the engines stalled, failing to protect people when they needed it most.


In the meantime, GM customers, most unaware of the switch problem, kept buying the compact cars. Sales topped 200,000 in 2005, 2006 and 2007.


COMPANY INVESTIGATIONS


From 2004 to 2006, multiple GM committees with convoluted acronyms considered fixes without a sense of urgency, Valukas wrote. Crashes and deaths mounted, catching attention from company lawyers and engineers. Yet no one at GM figured out that the bad switches were disabling the air bags.


Fixes were rejected as too costly. Instead the company sent a bulletin to dealers explaining the problem and telling them to warn customers not to dangle too many objects from their key chains. GM elected not to use the word "stall" in the bulletin, saying that was a "hot" word that could indicate there was a more serious safety issue.


A Wisconsin State Patrol Trooper named Keith Young proved better at diagnosing the problem than GM employees, the report said. While investigating a 2006 Cobalt crash that killed two teen-age girls, he checked the wreckage and found the ignition switch in the "accessory" position; the air bags weren't deployed. Going further, Young found five complaints to government safety regulators about Cobalt engines stalling while being driven. Three drivers reported their legs touched the ignition or key chain before the engine quit.


Young also found the 2006 GM bulletin to dealers that detailed the switch problem. He determined that the Cobalt's ignition slipped into accessory before the crash, causing the air bag failure. A team from Indiana University that probed the crash in 2007 also made the connection. "Yet GM personnel did not," Valukas wrote.


They might have — if they read Young's report. An electronic copy was in GM's files in 2007, but no engineer investigating the switches reported seeing it until 2014, according to Valukas.


THE SECRET FIX


In 2007, John Sprague, an engineer working with GM's liability defense team, began tracking Cobalt air bag problems. He noticed a pattern and theorized a link to the ignitions. He also saw that the air bag problems stopped after model year 2007 and wondered if the ignition switch had been changed, Valukas wrote.


He was right, though he didn't know it at the time. In 2006, DeGiorgio had signed off on a change that increased the force needed to turn the key. But when asked in 2009 and later under oath, DeGiorgio denied making a change. "To this day, in informal interviews and under oath, DeGiorgio claims not to remember authorizing the change to the ignition switch or his decision at the same time not to change the switch's part number," Valukas wrote.


Keeping the same number prevented GM investigators from learning what happened for years, according to Valukas.


A 'BOMBSHELL' AND FINALLY A RECALL


By 2011, GM's outside lawyers were warning that the company could be facing costly verdicts for failing to fix the air bag problem. Company lawyers sought another investigation, but the engineer assigned to the case discounted the ignition switch theory.


The probe became stuck after two years with no results.


Then came what GM's outside lawyers called a "bombshell." An expert working for a law firm that was suing GM X-rayed two switches from separate model years and discovered they were different — GM's first knowledge of DeGiorio's change to the switch. Even so, GM's recall committee wasn't immediately told about the fatal accidents, so it waited for several months before it started recalling the cars in February, Valukas wrote.


Barra told GM employees Thursday that Valukas' report was thorough, tough and "deeply troubling." She said 15 people — including Ray DeGiorgio — were dismissed from the company and five others disciplined, and she outlined changes to make sure such a problem doesn't happen again.


But some have their doubts.


"If GM operated in the manner described over a full decade, then there are many more safety problems out there today," said Jere Beasley, an attorney who is suing GM on behalf of victims.



At retooled Belmont, stars align for Triple Crown

The Associated Press



Martin Panza celebrated California Chrome's charge to Preakness Stakes victory three weeks ago like most fans at the packed Pimlico Race Course — bumping fists, slapping hands and thinking ahead to Saturday and the possibility of the first Triple Crown winner in 36 years.


And then Belmont Park's director of racing operations thought about everything else: the tens of thousands of additional people who show up for the Belmont Stakes whenever a horse has a chance at history; the millions more in expected wagers; and the need for more of everything, from seating, concessions to bathrooms, security and about 1,000 additional workers.


Local officials and business leaders celebrated too, seeing the race and the added interest of a Triple Crown contender as a boon of sold-out hotel rooms, dinners out and free publicity, so long as the writers and broadcasters were aware the track is actually on Long Island, as NBC's Bob Costas noted Wednesday, and not in New York City.


If California Chrome triumphs, it will happen on Panza's turf — or rather, his dirt — at an marquee New York-area event that the track's new management team reimagined earlier this year as a fusion of sports and entertainment worth attending even when the Triple Crown is not on the line.


They have filled the undercard with high-stakes races, increased the day's total purse to $8 million — the second-richest day in American horse racing behind the final slate of the Breeder's Cup — and surrounded the action with music from rapper and actor LL Cool J, former New York Yankees center fielder Bernie Williams and Frank Sinatra Jr. singing "New York, New York."


"For the first year of us doing this, under this new format, it's not going to get any better than this," Panza said in an interview near his track office, which was filled with boxes of Belmont Stakes caps and bags of other race souvenirs.


"From our end, what we need to do now is observe how the day goes and see what we can do for next year, always thinking that there could be another Triple Crown on the line."


California Chrome is the 12th horse to reach Long Island with wins in the first two legs of the Triple Crown, the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes, since Affirmed won all three in 1978.


Attendance for those 11 races averaged nearly 30,000 more than in years without a contender — going from a low of 37,171 in 1995 when Thunder Gulch and Timber Country split the Derby and the Preakness, to a record 120,139 in 2004 when Birdstone upset Smarty Jones in the last of a three-year stretch of Triple Crown contenders in the Belmont Stakes.


On-site wagering on the race-day program also surged in those years, according to track records, jumping from $6.8 million in contender-less 1996 to $9.2 million the following year when Silver Charm took the first two races, and from $8.8 million in contender-less 2007 to $13.3 million when Big Brown raced for history in 2008.


I'll Have Another's wins in Louisville and Baltimore sent attendance for the 2012 Belmont Stakes to nearly 86,000 and on-site wagering to $13.8 million even though the horse was withdrawn the day before the race due to a leg injury.


The head of the track's management team said ticket sales for this year's Belmont Stakes, with its emphasis on high-level racing and daylong entertainment, were already brisk before California Chrome broke from the gate at Churchill Downs in May.


More than 70 percent of tickets and premium tables for the race were sold before the Derby and all were gone before the Preakness, according to New York Racing Association president and chief executive officer Christopher Kay.


After the Preakness, Kay said, they added a trackside tent and additional seating to accommodate the surge of interest in a potential California Chrome coronation.


General admission and grandstand tickets costing $10 remained available through the track late in the week and more than 3,000 tickets, ranging from $12 for grandstand to $2,300 for a table for two at the Garden Terrace Restaurant, were available on the secondary ticket sales website StubHub.com.


Good weather — 82 degrees and sunny, according to the National Weather Service — could push the crowd into record territory.


"Our intent is to make Belmont Stakes day an important day year in and year out," Kay said.


This year it has been an important day — and week — for business.


The largest hotel on Long Island, a Marriott with more than 600 rooms in Uniondale, and the ornate Garden City Hotel — where management said all of the owners, trainers and jockeys in the Belmont Stakes were staying and where the menu includes a cocktail named for each horse — have sold out under race-related demand.


Other hotels were also booked solid, officials said, forcing some out-of-town fans to find lodging in Suffolk County, about 20 miles east, or stay in Manhattan, about 15 miles west.


"This Triple Crown opportunity doesn't come too often," state hotel association chairman John Tsunis said. "But, whoever wins in the race, the real winners will be Long Island and New York State."



German industrial production edges up in April


German industrial production edged up by a smaller-than-expected 0.2 percent in April compared with the previous month, even as factory orders in Europe's biggest economy strengthened.


The figure reported Friday by the Federal Statistical Office was below economists' expectations of a rise by 0.3 percent or more. In March, production dropped by 0.6 percent — revised downward from the original reading of a 0.5 percent fall.


The data came a day after the statistical office reported a much stronger-than-expected rise in factory orders, which rebounded by 3.1 percent in April after falling the previous month.


The economy grew by a robust 0.8 percent in the first quarter compared with the previous three-month period. Second-quarter growth is expected to be slower.



There are no urgent or non-urgent issues: Berri


BEIRUT: There is no distinction between urgent and non-urgent issues, Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri insists in a clear message to lawmakers who argue that Parliament should only handle urgent matters until a new president for Lebanon is elected.


“There are no urgent and non-urgent matters,” Berri warned in remarks published Friday by the local daily An-Nahar. “[Lawmakers] should continue to make laws in Parliament.”


On his recent meeting with MP Michel Aoun, Berri said the Free Patriotic Movement leader had promised to consider participating in legislative sessions.


Although the Cabinet is still discussing a mechanism to govern its work in light of the presidential void, Aoun’s bloc, along with some Christian MPs and the Future Movement, has vowed not to attend legislative sessions in Parliament until a new head of state is elected.


They argue that Parliament should only handle urgent issues while the presidency is vacant.


Last week, the Cabinet agreed that the prime minister would send the agenda to the ministers 72 hours before scheduled sessions. The remaining issue is whether Cabinet decrees need the signatures of all 24 ministers, or only a third or a half of them.